Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 53.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Ryan
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
52.9% (870)
+8.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.5% (43)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
46.2% (143)
+5.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zibanejad
Home
64.2% (137)
55.1% (501)
Away
55.8% (113)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Ryan
Zibanejad
P1
58.9%
57.5%
P2
62.8%
50.7%
P3
59.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%