Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.2% vs Cousins 47.3% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 65.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 87.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 80.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Ryan
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ryan
Cousins
Last 6: Ryan 4-2 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Cousins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
2
Ryan
Cousins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Cousins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (594)
47.0% (477)
+12.1%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
45.2% (42)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (107)
0.0% (1)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Ryan is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Ryan shoots right. Cousins is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cousins
Home
57.0% (398)
48.3% (234)
Away
59.5% (358)
45.5% (286)
By Period
Ryan
Cousins
P1
56.2%
53.2%
P2
56.9%
43.5%
P3
61.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |