Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Cousins 49.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 77.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 77.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Ryan
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Ryan
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
47.4% (38)
+12.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.5% (11)
-16.9%
On power play, Cousins has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Cousins is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cousins
Home
56.7% (254)
50.0% (20)
Away
55.0% (258)
44.8% (29)
By Period
Ryan
Cousins
P1
56.9%
50.0%
P2
51.7%
52.6%
P3
59.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |