Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Cousins 45.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 65.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 91.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 87.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Ryan
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Ryan
Cousins
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Cousins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Cousins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Cousins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
45.0% (1,506)
+11.6%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
44.6% (101)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
42.9% (7)
+4.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Cousins is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Ryan
Cousins
Home
56.2% (2,559)
46.8% (808)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
43.1% (806)
By Period
Ryan
Cousins
P1
55.1%
47.6%
P2
54.7%
43.6%
P3
56.0%
43.7%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:46 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:27 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |