Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 81.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 79.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 50.5%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Ryan
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Ryan
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
47.0% (541)
+13.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
47.4% (95)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
15.4% (13)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Ryan
Backstrom
Home
56.7% (254)
48.5% (328)
Away
55.0% (258)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Ryan
Backstrom
P1
56.9%
44.8%
P2
51.7%
42.9%
P3
59.2%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |