Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 76.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 85.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Ryan
Backstrom
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
53.2% (77)
+7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (6)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Backstrom is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Ryan
Backstrom
Home
56.7% (201)
54.5% (55)
Away
54.8% (208)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Ryan
Backstrom
P1
56.7%
50.0%
P2
56.8%
52.9%
P3
53.7%
55.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%