Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Ryan wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Patrick 50.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 92.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 90.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Ryan
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Ryan
Patrick
Last 10: Ryan 8-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
1
Ryan
Patrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Patrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
50.6% (719)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
50.0% (22)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
50.0% (2)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Ryan is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Ryan shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Ryan
Patrick
Home
56.7% (466)
50.1% (391)
Away
56.3% (474)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Ryan
Patrick
P1
55.4%
54.4%
P2
58.1%
49.3%
P3
55.8%
47.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |