Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Danault 53.3% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 69.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 66.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Ryan
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ryan
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Ryan
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Ryan
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
54.0% (985)
+6.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.1% (131)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
43.8% (146)
-0.6%
On power play, Danault has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Ryan
Danault
Home
56.7% (254)
54.7% (636)
Away
55.0% (258)
52.4% (626)
By Period
Ryan
Danault
P1
56.9%
54.1%
P2
51.7%
54.3%
P3
59.2%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |