Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Danault 51.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 60.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 64.5%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Ryan
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Ryan
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Ryan
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
52.6% (895)
+8.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.7% (97)
+44.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
45.5% (165)
+0.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Danault is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Ryan
Danault
Home
56.7% (201)
54.0% (581)
Away
54.8% (208)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Ryan
Danault
P1
56.7%
53.7%
P2
56.8%
55.3%
P3
53.7%
46.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |