Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Nash 51.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 58.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 57.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 56.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Ryan
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Ryan
Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Ryan
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Ryan
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
54.1% (292)
+6.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.1% (7)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
45.9% (98)
-2.7%
On power play, Nash has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Nash is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nash
Home
56.7% (254)
56.3% (183)
Away
55.0% (258)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Ryan
Nash
P1
56.9%
58.9%
P2
51.7%
51.0%
P3
59.2%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Riley Nash |