Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Nash 48.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 68.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 73.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Ryan
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Ryan
Nash
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
2
Ryan
Nash
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
3
4
Ryan
Nash
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Ryan
Nash
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
48.7% (4,621)
+7.9%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
51.0% (249)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
44.9% (550)
+2.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Ryan
Nash
Home
56.2% (2,559)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Ryan
Nash
P1
55.1%
49.0%
P2
54.7%
47.9%
P3
56.0%
48.0%
OT
58.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |