Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Couturier 52.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 51.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 51.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Ryan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Ryan
Couturier
Last 10: Ryan 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
7
Ryan
Couturier
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
6
Ryan
Couturier
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
5
Ryan
Couturier
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
52.5% (11,063)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
59.7% (1,280)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
48.5% (1,816)
-0.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couturier
Home
56.2% (2,559)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Ryan
Couturier
P1
55.1%
52.5%
P2
54.7%
52.6%
P3
56.0%
52.9%
OT
58.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |