Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 78.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Ryan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ryan
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Ryan
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
53.8% (1,003)
+7.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.4% (202)
+43.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
42.7% (89)
+3.5%
On power play, Ryan has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couturier
Home
56.7% (201)
54.4% (680)
Away
54.8% (208)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Ryan
Couturier
P1
56.7%
56.3%
P2
56.8%
51.8%
P3
53.7%
52.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |