Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Couturier 55.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 71.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 61.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Ryan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Ryan
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Ryan
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
55.1% (1,008)
+6.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.1% (142)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
53.3% (45)
-1.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couturier
Home
64.2% (137)
58.1% (609)
Away
55.8% (113)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Ryan
Couturier
P1
58.9%
55.3%
P2
62.8%
55.8%
P3
59.3%
57.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |