Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Couturier 52.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 89.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 57.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 77.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Ryan
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Ryan
Couturier
Last 8: Ryan 6-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
53.5% (770)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
59.4% (69)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
46.9% (162)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Couturier is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Ryan
Couturier
Home
56.7% (466)
53.8% (452)
Away
56.3% (474)
52.1% (549)
By Period
Ryan
Couturier
P1
55.4%
53.4%
P2
58.1%
52.8%
P3
55.8%
52.4%
OT
66.7%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 04:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |