Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Boyd 45.8% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 86.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Ryan
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Ryan
Boyd
Last 7: Ryan 5-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
45.9% (784)
+14.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
43.2% (81)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
40.3% (62)
+2.9%
On power play, Boyd has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Ryan shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Ryan
Boyd
Home
56.7% (254)
45.1% (501)
Away
55.0% (258)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Ryan
Boyd
P1
56.9%
45.9%
P2
51.7%
44.6%
P3
59.2%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |