Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Boyd 44.1% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 90.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 95.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 96.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Ryan
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
11
(33 meetings)
22
11
Ryan
Boyd
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
2
Ryan
Boyd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
9
2
Ryan
Boyd
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Ryan
Boyd
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
44.4% (2,186)
+12.2%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
46.5% (256)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
35.6% (208)
+12.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Ryan
Boyd
Home
56.2% (2,559)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Ryan
Boyd
P1
55.1%
41.7%
P2
54.7%
46.2%
P3
56.0%
44.0%
OT
58.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 3 | 08:54 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| May 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| May 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| May 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |