Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.3%). Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Seguin 55.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 78.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 76.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Ryan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
56.9% (478)
+3.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.4% (54)
+42.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
51.3% (76)
-5.1%
On power play, Ryan has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Ryan
Seguin
Home
56.7% (201)
57.4% (317)
Away
54.8% (208)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Ryan
Seguin
P1
56.7%
50.3%
P2
56.8%
60.4%
P3
53.7%
58.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |