Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Seguin 51.8% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.9%
Defensive zone
Ryan 73.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Ryan
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
54.8% (135)
+6.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.3% (24)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
26.7% (15)
+25.0%
On power play, Ryan has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Ryan shoots right. Seguin is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Ryan
Seguin
Home
64.2% (137)
47.4% (95)
Away
55.8% (113)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Ryan
Seguin
P1
58.9%
50.8%
P2
62.8%
57.1%
P3
59.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%