Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.6% vs Stepan 47.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 75.3%
Defensive zone
Copp 52.7%
Neutral zone
Copp 75.3%
Result
Andrew Copp favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Copp
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Copp
Stepan
Last 6: Copp 4-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
1
Copp
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (455)
47.3% (877)
+7.6%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
54.4% (103)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
45.2% (217)
-1.0%
On even strength, Copp has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Copp is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Copp shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Copp
Stepan
Home
53.4% (309)
50.4% (560)
Away
52.5% (276)
45.1% (637)
By Period
Copp
Stepan
P1
55.6%
47.4%
P2
51.6%
47.0%
P3
51.6%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |