Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.1% vs Stepan 50.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 64.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 59.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Copp
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Copp
Stepan
Last 9: Copp 3-6 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
4
Copp
Stepan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
1
0
Copp
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Copp
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (152)
52.7% (207)
-3.4%
Power Play
64.9% (57)
50.0% (26)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
29.6% (27)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Copp has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Copp is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Copp shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Copp
Stepan
Home
53.5% (114)
46.0% (113)
Away
52.5% (118)
53.1% (147)
By Period
Copp
Stepan
P1
53.2%
48.5%
P2
52.5%
49.4%
P3
54.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |