Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Stepan 50.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 71.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Horvat
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Stepan
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Horvat
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
52.7% (207)
-2.0%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
50.0% (26)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
29.6% (27)
+14.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Horvat is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Horvat shoots left. Stepan is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stepan
Home
54.1% (599)
46.0% (113)
Away
51.8% (626)
53.1% (147)
By Period
Horvat
Stepan
P1
50.8%
48.5%
P2
50.0%
49.4%
P3
57.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |