Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kampf wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 46.0% vs Stepan 47.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 66.5%
Defensive zone
Kampf 51.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Kampf
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kampf
Stepan
Last 5: Kampf 3-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Kampf
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kampf
2
0
Kampf
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (556)
46.8% (991)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
48.8% (211)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
48.3% (174)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Kampf is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Kampf shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Kampf
Stepan
Home
46.5% (303)
48.6% (666)
Away
44.1% (306)
46.1% (710)
By Period
Kampf
Stepan
P1
45.4%
46.3%
P2
44.1%
50.7%
P3
46.3%
45.5%
OT
60.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
45.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
45.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 15:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | David Kampf |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | David Kampf |