Derek Stepan vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.0%). Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Pettersson 46.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 64.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 61.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Stepan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Stepan
Pettersson
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
2
Stepan
Pettersson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
0
Stepan
Pettersson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
45.3% (4,569)
+1.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.6% (540)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
38.7% (238)
+5.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pettersson
Home
47.6% (6,608)
46.8% (2,734)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
45.1% (2,613)
By Period
Stepan
Pettersson
P1
47.5%
44.7%
P2
45.6%
46.0%
P3
46.8%
47.4%
OT
40.7%
39.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |