Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Pettersson 45.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 85.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 72.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Stepan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
43.9% (494)
+10.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
45.7% (35)
-45.7%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
45.5% (11)
+19.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pettersson
Home
54.5% (222)
45.5% (290)
Away
57.2% (222)
42.4% (250)
By Period
Stepan
Pettersson
P1
57.5%
40.2%
P2
54.7%
43.9%
P3
55.9%
48.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |