Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Pettersson 44.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 68.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Stepan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
44.1% (912)
+11.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
61.5% (39)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
34.8% (46)
+16.0%
On power play, Pettersson has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pettersson
Home
57.7% (213)
45.0% (489)
Away
50.7% (209)
43.7% (508)
By Period
Stepan
Pettersson
P1
56.3%
46.0%
P2
48.9%
45.7%
P3
57.1%
42.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |