Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Pettersson 42.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 91.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 87.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Stepan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Stepan
Pettersson
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
2
Stepan
Pettersson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
41.3% (608)
+5.5%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
35.3% (17)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
0.0% (2)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pettersson
Home
48.6% (666)
39.7% (320)
Away
46.1% (710)
42.3% (307)
By Period
Stepan
Pettersson
P1
46.3%
36.9%
P2
50.7%
43.2%
P3
45.5%
43.6%
OT
39.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |