Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Stepan wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 39.9% vs Staal 48.1% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 83.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 80.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 1-9 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Stepan
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
6
Stepan
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Stepan
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (630)
47.4% (1,219)
-8.8%
Power Play
45.3% (64)
50.8% (356)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
22.7% (22)
47.5% (141)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
39.0% (364)
49.8% (880)
Away
38.0% (355)
46.2% (871)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
39.4%
46.4%
P2
40.6%
46.1%
P3
36.4%
50.7%
OT
12.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
40.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
38.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | OT | 04:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |