Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 59 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Staal 50.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 100-53 in 153 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 73.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 74.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
100
(153 meetings)
53
100
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
15
44
Stepan
Staal
59 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
22
26
Stepan
Staal
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
16
30
Stepan
Staal
46 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.5% (10,347)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
53.5% (2,023)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.2% (781)
+0.0%
On power play, Staal has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
47.6% (6,608)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
45.6%
51.1%
P3
46.8%
50.4%
OT
40.7%
55.2%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |