Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stepan wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Staal 52.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 78.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 85.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 79.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Stepan
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Stepan
Staal
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Stepan
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Stepan
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Stepan
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
52.0% (1,126)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
56.5% (239)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
50.8% (65)
-7.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Stepan shoots right. Staal is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Stepan
Staal
Home
47.8% (828)
56.7% (727)
Away
42.0% (684)
48.6% (703)
By Period
Stepan
Staal
P1
49.5%
50.9%
P2
42.0%
54.7%
P3
44.3%
51.9%
OT
41.2%
60.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |