Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Malkin 50.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Stepan
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Stepan
Malkin
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Malkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
1
Stepan
Malkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
3
Stepan
Malkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
50.5% (774)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
53.3% (92)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
10.0% (10)
+35.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Malkin is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Stepan
Malkin
Home
50.4% (560)
49.1% (411)
Away
45.1% (637)
51.4% (465)
By Period
Stepan
Malkin
P1
47.4%
49.5%
P2
47.0%
54.7%
P3
48.1%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |