Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Malkin 45.0% (+12.3%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Stepan
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
44.0% (366)
+10.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
30.0% (10)
-30.0%
On power play, Malkin has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Stepan
Malkin
Home
54.5% (222)
45.5% (202)
Away
57.2% (222)
41.4% (174)
By Period
Stepan
Malkin
P1
57.5%
48.4%
P2
54.7%
41.7%
P3
55.9%
40.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%