Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Malkin 49.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 85.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 68.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Stepan
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Stepan
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
49.0% (811)
+6.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
55.8% (43)
-55.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
50.0% (2)
+0.8%
On power play, Malkin has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Stepan
Malkin
Home
57.7% (213)
52.3% (438)
Away
50.7% (209)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Stepan
Malkin
P1
56.3%
51.3%
P2
48.9%
50.8%
P3
57.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |