Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs McCann 46.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 56.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Stepan
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stepan
McCann
Last 5: Stepan 2-3 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Stepan
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
46.5% (477)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
46.3% (41)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
46.2% (52)
-1.0%
On power play, Stepan has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. McCann is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Stepan
McCann
Home
50.4% (560)
46.3% (296)
Away
45.1% (637)
46.5% (275)
By Period
Stepan
McCann
P1
47.4%
49.4%
P2
47.0%
44.5%
P3
48.1%
46.0%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Jared McCann |