Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs McCann 42.7% (+21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 56.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 87.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 66.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Stepan
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
37.5% (40)
+17.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
29.7% (37)
-29.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. McCann is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Stepan
McCann
Home
57.7% (213)
34.0% (47)
Away
50.7% (209)
32.3% (31)
By Period
Stepan
McCann
P1
56.3%
38.1%
P2
48.9%
30.0%
P3
57.1%
30.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |