Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs McCann 43.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 57.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Stepan
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Stepan
McCann
Last 7: Stepan 4-3 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
1
Stepan
McCann
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Stepan
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
43.1% (3,178)
+3.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
40.0% (260)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.2% (173)
+2.0%
On power play, Stepan has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
Home / Away
Stepan
McCann
Home
47.6% (6,608)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Stepan
McCann
P1
47.5%
44.4%
P2
45.6%
41.7%
P3
46.8%
42.7%
OT
40.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |