Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Dickinson 44.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 84.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 62.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 67.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Stepan
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Stepan
Dickinson
Last 6: Stepan 6-0 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
0
Stepan
Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
44.5% (398)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
22.2% (9)
+26.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
35.5% (62)
+12.8%
On power play, Stepan has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Dickinson is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Stepan
Dickinson
Home
48.6% (666)
45.2% (221)
Away
46.1% (710)
40.7% (248)
By Period
Stepan
Dickinson
P1
46.3%
45.1%
P2
50.7%
40.0%
P3
45.5%
44.7%
OT
39.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 03:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |