Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Dickinson 44.5% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Stepan
Dickinson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
44.3% (255)
+10.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
33.3% (9)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
28.0% (25)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Dickinson is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Stepan
Dickinson
Home
54.5% (222)
38.8% (129)
Away
57.2% (222)
45.6% (160)
By Period
Stepan
Dickinson
P1
57.5%
49.4%
P2
54.7%
45.1%
P3
55.9%
34.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%