Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Dickinson 48.0% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 67.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 63.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stepan
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
48.6% (626)
+6.7%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
44.0% (25)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
44.2% (120)
+6.6%
On power play, Dickinson has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Dickinson is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Stepan
Dickinson
Home
57.7% (213)
45.4% (368)
Away
50.7% (209)
49.9% (403)
By Period
Stepan
Dickinson
P1
56.3%
49.2%
P2
48.9%
46.3%
P3
57.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |