Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Beagle 54.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 87.6%
Neutral zone
Beagle 66.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Stepan
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stepan
Beagle
Last 6: Stepan 4-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
59.0% (212)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
50.0% (94)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Stepan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Stepan shoots right. Beagle is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Stepan
Beagle
Home
46.0% (113)
57.9% (171)
Away
53.1% (147)
54.0% (137)
By Period
Stepan
Beagle
P1
48.5%
53.3%
P2
49.4%
61.5%
P3
52.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |