Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Beagle 55.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 52.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.8%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Stepan
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Stepan
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
57.2% (353)
-2.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
87.5% (16)
-87.5%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
51.6% (95)
+13.1%
On power play, Beagle has a +87.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Beagle is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Stepan
Beagle
Home
54.5% (222)
62.0% (200)
Away
57.2% (222)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Stepan
Beagle
P1
57.5%
55.8%
P2
54.7%
60.1%
P3
55.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |