Derek Stepan vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Pageau 54.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 28-24 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 74.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Stepan
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
28
(52 meetings)
24
28
Stepan
Pageau
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
15
6
Stepan
Pageau
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
15
Stepan
Pageau
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
7
Stepan
Pageau
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
55.7% (9,486)
-9.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
57.0% (1,002)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
49.6% (2,069)
-5.4%
On even strength, Pageau has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,718).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pageau
Home
47.6% (6,608)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Stepan
Pageau
P1
47.5%
54.6%
P2
45.6%
56.3%
P3
46.8%
53.5%
OT
40.7%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |