Derek Stepan vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Pageau 56.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 74.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 61.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Stepan
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stepan
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Stepan
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
58.8% (889)
-3.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.2% (182)
-58.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
48.6% (185)
+2.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +58.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Pageau is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pageau
Home
57.7% (213)
59.0% (595)
Away
50.7% (209)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Stepan
Pageau
P1
56.3%
58.9%
P2
48.9%
57.9%
P3
57.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |