Derek Stepan vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.3%). Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Pageau 55.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 52.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Stepan
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Stepan
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Stepan
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
55.8% (1,000)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
56.6% (182)
-56.6%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
51.2% (170)
+13.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pageau
Home
54.5% (222)
57.1% (674)
Away
57.2% (222)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Stepan
Pageau
P1
57.5%
56.9%
P2
54.7%
54.5%
P3
55.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |