Derek Stepan vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Pageau 52.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 58.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 87.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Stepan
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Stepan
Pageau
Last 6: Stepan 5-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
0
Stepan
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Stepan
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
54.1% (882)
-7.5%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
45.0% (60)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
46.8% (235)
+0.7%
On even strength, Pageau has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stepan is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Stepan shoots right. Pageau is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pageau
Home
47.7% (555)
54.7% (592)
Away
45.6% (548)
49.6% (585)
By Period
Stepan
Pageau
P1
46.4%
51.0%
P2
45.7%
54.3%
P3
48.5%
51.8%
OT
35.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |