Derek Stepan vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Pageau 51.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 60.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Stepan
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Stepan
Pageau
Last 8: Stepan 2-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Stepan
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
4
Stepan
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
51.6% (896)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
49.2% (63)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
50.0% (174)
-2.8%
On even strength, Pageau has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Pageau is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Stepan
Pageau
Home
48.2% (761)
51.2% (559)
Away
47.3% (789)
51.2% (574)
By Period
Stepan
Pageau
P1
46.3%
50.4%
P2
50.4%
52.4%
P3
46.3%
51.0%
OT
55.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |