Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Larsson 46.9% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 72.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 67.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Stepan
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
46.7% (345)
+7.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.1% (18)
-61.1%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
39.0% (59)
+25.7%
On power play, Larsson has a +61.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Stepan
Larsson
Home
54.5% (222)
52.1% (167)
Away
57.2% (222)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Stepan
Larsson
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
46.7%
P3
55.9%
42.6%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |