Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Drouin 45.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 71.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.1%
Neutral zone
Drouin 53.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Stepan
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stepan
Drouin
Last 5: Stepan 2-3 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
2
Stepan
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Drouin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
1
Stepan
Drouin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
43.6% (140)
+4.6%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
43.6% (78)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
50.0% (2)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Drouin has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Drouin is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Stepan
Drouin
Home
46.4% (774)
45.4% (108)
Away
47.7% (748)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Stepan
Drouin
P1
46.7%
46.0%
P2
46.3%
38.6%
P3
48.1%
46.1%
OT
47.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2017 | OT | 03:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |