Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Drouin 48.8% (+8.9%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 67.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 55.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Stepan
Drouin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
48.3% (58)
+6.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
0.0% (1)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Drouin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Stepan
Drouin
Home
54.5% (222)
45.8% (24)
Away
57.2% (222)
47.6% (42)
By Period
Stepan
Drouin
P1
57.5%
46.2%
P2
54.7%
43.5%
P3
55.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%