Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Drouin 45.6% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 55.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 72.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Stepan
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Drouin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
45.1% (355)
+10.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
40.9% (22)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
0.0% (3)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Stepan
Drouin
Home
57.7% (213)
37.5% (160)
Away
50.7% (209)
49.5% (220)
By Period
Stepan
Drouin
P1
56.3%
40.3%
P2
48.9%
43.3%
P3
57.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |